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UK Climate Forecasting and Analysis



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The data and charts on this page are supplied mainly by the Icelandic Met Office which is under the auspices of the Ministry for the Environment and Natural Resources based on the Icelandic Meteorological Office and the Icelandic Hydrological Survey. The Icelandic Meteorological Office has 135 full-time employees. We will also use information and data from our colleagues at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration formed on the 3 October 1970.

Temperature Precipitation and Cloud charts for Monday 1 December  - Courtesy of the Icelandic Met Office

UK Climate Forecast  38 Union Street  Grantham  Lincolnshire NG31 6NZ    


On Monday the Met Office has issued 3 Yellow warnings and 1 Amber warning for rain. An area of heavy rain is expected to move over south Wales between late Sunday and late Monday. Whilst rainfall amounts will vary, some heavy and persistent rainfall is likely to fall, especially over high ground, for example Bannau Brycheiniog. Rain should clear to the east Monday night. 20-40 mm of rain will fall extensively across the wider region, but 60-80 mm is expected to accumulate over some south- and southwest-facing high ground in south Wales, with a few places perhaps seeing nearer 100-120 mm. In addition to the potential for flooding impacts, this increases the chance of landslides on both natural and infrastructure slopes. Strong south to southwesterly winds will also accompany the heavy rain, with gales possible around coasts and over high ground.

Yesterday the highest maximum temperature of 12.2 C was recorded at Shoeburyness a coastal town 3 miles east of Southend-on-Sea in Essex. The lowest minimum temperature of - 2.4 C was recorded at Aboyne a village on the River Dee about 30 miles west of Aberdeen. The highest rainfall of 37.6 mm was recorded at Leconfield a village in the East Riding of Yorkshire. The sunniest place was Exeter Airport at Clyst Honiton near the city of Exeter in Devon with 5 hours of sunshine.   






 

 





  







  







  


 


 



 






   









 


Weather - Online: Monday 1 December

Prolonged heavy rain for Wales and northwest England, concerns for renewed flooding during the day. Rain fairly persistent across much of England in the morning, fading to drizzle, drier at times in the east by afternoon. Rain frequent in the southwest, setting in heavier later with sudden squally bursts. Strong to gale-force south-southwesterlies over England and Wales. Spells of rain for southern Scotland and Ireland too. Showery in western Scotland. Drier and brighter northern Scotland with lighter winds. Mild, 11 to 13C, but only 6C north Scotland. Monday night: A belt of heavy rain associated with a cold front advances eastward over England and Wales into the evening and night, sudden powerful gusts, squally bursts with possible hail, risk of thunder, mainly toward the south. The strongest winds will then ease as skies clear from the west behind this front. Showers move onto coasts in the west through the night, some heavy. Areas of rain move across Scotland for a few hours. Temperatures dropping to 4 to 7C, but nearer 0C in Highland Scotland.

Weather - Online: Tuesday 2 December

Many places will be dry and bright, sunny spells best in eastern regions of England, Scotland, also Ireland. Showers will affect south and western coasts, some heavy and locally frequent in west Wales, possible hail, isolated thunder. Showery too in western parts of Scotland and Ireland. A breezy south to southwesterly, particularly near coasts in the west and south, squally gusts around showers. Highs 6 to 8C north and west, 9 or 10C central and southeastern England.

Weather - Online: Wednesday 3 December

Low pressure centred to the northwest. Showery rain and cloudy skies toward the west and particularly northwest, more persistent rain in Scotland at times, drier to the east. Further south, showers stay mainly towards coastal areas with drier intervals and some sunshine for the Midlands and eastern England. Showers fade for west Wales later. Rain sweeps into Ireland and the southwest into the night. Light to moderate southwesterly winds. Highs of 6C in the north and 10C in the south.

Weather - Online: Thursday 4 December

A band of rain moves northeastwards during the day, heavy for a time in western Britain early in the day, some pulses of heavier rain moving over the Midlands, then eastern counties into the afternoon. Patchy showery rain for Scotland. Brighter spells and scattered showers follow for Wales and southwest England. Blustery around coasts in south and east. Highs of 6C north, 9C south.

Met Office: Friday 5 to Sunday 14 December

Likely a continuation of the unsettled conditions see for much of the week. Initially a weakening frontal zone will bring cloud and some patchy rain and drizzle, mostly to northern and eastern areas. Following this winds are likely to fall light, and this could allow some fairly widespread mist and fog to form on Friday morning. However this should readily lift as winds begin to freshen once more ahead of a further band of rain expected to reach western areas later on Friday. This could bring a spell of locally heavy rain as it moves east across the country, particularly on hills exposed to the strong southerly winds. Thereafter likely to remain unsettled into the weekend, with further rain or showers for most. Temperatures not far from average throughout.

Current Satellite Image

Monday 1 December:

Temp1Dec.pdf Cloud1Dec.pdf Prec1Dec.pdf