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UK Climate Forecasting and Analysis



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The data and charts on this page are supplied mainly by the Icelandic Met Office which is under the auspices of the Ministry for the Environment and Natural Resources based on the Icelandic Meteorological Office and the Icelandic Hydrological Survey. The Icelandic Meteorological Office has 135 full-time employees. We will also use information and data from our colleagues at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration formed on the 3 October 1970.

Temperature Precipitation and Cloud charts for Thursday 15 January  - Courtesy of the Icelandic Met Office

UK Climate Forecast  38 Union Street  Grantham  Lincolnshire NG31 6NZ    


UK Met Office: A yellow warning for RAIN will be in force on Thursday from 09.00 hours to 22.00 hours. An area of low pressure will migrate northeastwards across England on Thursday. Whilst the exact track is uncertain, rain will become persistent and heavy through the day, before clearing to the north through the evening and night. Accumulations of 20-30 mm are expected fairly widely, in some places falling in just a few hours, with the potential for 40-50 mm in a few isolated spots. Given the saturated ground, this may lead to some surface water flooding. A 130 mph strong Polar Jet Stream will start off on Thursday effecting the Channel Islands Brest Peninsula English Channel and Southern England. During the day it will move upwards over the UK.

Yesterday the highest maximum temperature of 10.5 C was recorded at St. Mary’s on the Isles of Scilly. The lowest minimum temperature of -6.1 C was recorded at Benson a village in South Oxfordshire. The highest rainfall figure of 15 mm was recorded at Port Ellen a small town on the island of Islay in Scotland. The sunniest place was Tibenham Airfield a former RAF airfield about 5.8 miles north of Diss in Norfolk with 7.2 hours of sunshine.  






  







  


 


 



 






   









 


Weather - Online: Thursday 15 January

A largely dry start for most areas, though remnants of rain linger over northeastern Scotland and scattered coastal showers affect western coasts. During the afternoon, an area of heavy rain spreads across England and Wales, pushing north later in the day accompanied by strengthening winds. Maximum temperatures reach 9C in the south and 5C in the north. Thursday night: Rain continues northwards across England and Wales through the evening, reaching southern and eastern Scotland overnight into Friday. Snow is expected over higher ground, with sleet possible at lower levels for a time. Ireland remains mostly dry, aside from a few coastal showers in the west. Minimum temperatures fall to -2C in the north and around 5C in the south.


Weather - Online: Friday 16 January

Rain and hill snow persist over northern England and southern and eastern Scotland during the morning, gradually clearing from the south in the afternoon and leaving all areas dry by early evening. Elsewhere, it will be a largely dry day, though coastal showers may affect southern Ireland, the Irish Sea, and southwestern and southern England. Afternoon temperatures reach 10C in the south and 4C in the north, with frost developing overnight across Scotland.


Weather - Online: Saturday 17 January

As high pressure extends from the east, the day will be mostly dry, with perhaps a few early showers near the English Channel. Brighter spells are expected, especially over Ireland and Wales. Maximum temperatures of 8C in the south and 5C in the north.


Weather - Online: Sunday 18 January

Another largely dry but rather cloudy day across the British Isles. Coastal showers are most likely over northeastern Scotland and southwestern England. Later in the day, cloud thickens over western Ireland and western Scotland, with a band of rain arriving late in the evening. Highs of 8C in the south and 6C in the north.


Monday 19 January to Wednesday 28 January

UK Met Office: Throughout this period, the UK will see a battle between Atlantic weather systems attempting to arrive from the west while high pressure and colder conditions attempt to exert some influence from the east. Initially, milder Atlantic air is expected to dominate. This should maintain changeable conditions with showers or longer spells of rain for most. The wettest weather in western parts of the country, drier in the east. Temperatures overall likely to be around average. Later in the period, there is an increased chance that conditions will turn colder. This aspect of the forecast is still somewhat uncertain but the potential transition to colder weather also increases the chance of snow across parts of the country.

Current Satellite Image

Thursday 15 January: At 00.00 hrs St.Mary’s in the Scilly Isles is reporting a temperature of 10.6 C with Herstmonceux 10.2 C and 10 C at Southend-on-Sea Lydd Airport London Gatwick Airport and London City Airport. The Cairngorm Mountain is reporting winds of 52 mph with Aonach Mor 41 mph. The Cairngorm Mountain is also recording the minimum temperature and dewpoint at this time of -3.1 C. At 01.00 hrs Great Dun Fell 2 is reporting winds of 43 mph. At 02.00 hrs Culdrose is reporting 10 C with the Isle of Portland 9.5 C the Isle of Wight 9.3 C and Hurn 9.2 C. The Isle of Portland is reporting winds of 36 mph with Lake Vyrnwy 31 mph and Loftus 29 mph. At 03.00 hrs Mildenhall is reporting a temperature of 9 C. Capel Curig is reporting heavy rain 7 C with SW winds gusting at 39 mph and 1000 Mb. Hereford is reporting recent drizzle 4 C with calm winds and air pressure of 1003 Mb.    

Temp15.pdf Prec15.pdf Cloud15.pdf