Monitoring the UK climate and forecasting its meteorological changes with analysis
UK Climate Forecasting and Analysis
Climate Change UK Weather North Atlantic Storms & Hurricanes Reports & Analysis Jet Stream Flooding
July began with high temperatures in the south of the UK, with the hottest temperature of the year so far, 35.8°C, recorded in Faversham, Kent. The weather then turned unsettled as frontal systems moved in, bringing rain to many areas. In particular, Scotland and northwestern regions saw heavy downpours, some thundery. Temperatures dropped to below average in most areas for a couple days, before returning to around average for the rest of the first week. Pressure built again and brought more settled weather, although there were still outbreaks of light rain and drizzle in the north and northwest. Above-average temperatures and dry weather persisted for most of the second week of July before showers began to arrive, some heavy in parts of Scotland and northeast England. Temperatures then returned to around average, with outbreaks of occasionally thundery showers. For the rest of the month, temperatures were slightly above average for most and the weather was unsettled. Frontal systems brought more organised rainfall between the 19th and 21st, with particularly heavy rain experienced in Scotland and Northern Ireland. There were also convective showers, some thundery, across central and southeastern England. The month closed with unsettled weather brining rain and showers across parts of the country.
Read the full July 2025 climate summary
July 2025 recorded a global surface temperature 1.00°C (1.80°F) higher than the 20th-century average, making it the third-warmest July since records began in 1850. Only July of 2024 (warmest) and July 2023 were warmer. All ten warmest Julys on record have occurred since 2016. July 2025 also marks the 49th consecutive July with above-average global temperatures. The global ocean-only surface temperature for July was the third-highest on record, at 0.92°C (1.66°F) above average. This was cooler than July 2023 (warmest) and July 2024. For land areas, the global land-only surface temperature in July tied as the seventh-warmest on record, at 1.20°C (2.16°F) higher than the 20th-century average. This was the smallest July land temperature anomaly since 2019 and the smallest for any month since December 2022 (+1.16°C / +2.09°F). In July 2025, most of the globe experienced much-warmer-than-average temperatures. The most significant high temperature anomalies, exceeding 1.0°C (1.8°F) above average, occurred over Europe, southern Asia, the northern Pacific Ocean, and parts of North and South America, central-western Antarctica, and the North Atlantic Ocean.
The average temperature in the United Kingdom for July 2025 was 16.8°C (62.2°F), which is 1.5°C (2.7°F) above average. This ranked as the nation's fifth-warmest July on record. Minimum (nighttime) temperatures were notably high, with the UK experiencing its second-warmest July on record for minimum temperatures, according to the Met Office.
The global surface temperature for January–July 2025 was the second-highest in NOAA's 176-year record, at 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 20th-century average. This is just 0.10°C (0.18°F) shy of tying the record set from January–July 2024.
Read the full Global Climate Report for July
- UN Climate Reports
- NOAA Global Annual 2024 Climate Report
- IPCC AR6 Climate Change Report
- IPCC AR6 Synthesis Climate Change 2023
UK Climate Forecast 38 Union Street Grantham Lincolnshire NG31 6NZ
Ocean temperatures are off the charts right now and scientists are alarmed
One major driver of the heat is believed to be an approaching – and potentially strong – El Niño, a natural climate fluctuation associated with warming in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, which has a global heating effect.
State of the UK Climate Report 2023
Published 25 July 2024
Climate change indicators reached record
levels in 2023
Climate Analytics NCAR Climate Analysis Climate Models
WMO State of Global Climate 2024
Published 19 March 2025
The goal of climate analysis is to better understand the Earth’s past and present climate, and to predict future climate response to changes in natural and human-induced factors, such as the Sun, greenhouse gases (e.g., water vapour, carbon dioxide and methane), and aerosols (e.g., from dust storms, pollution, fires, sea spray or volcanic eruptions). Climate analysis studies are routinely carried out using a mix of data from diverse sources including historical climate data, current and past satellite instruments, field campaigns, and outputs from regional and global numerical models. A climatic data element is a measured parameter which helps to specify the climate of a specific location or region, such as precipitation, temperature, wind speed and humidity.